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S&P 500 hits 17-month high as banks lift Wall Street (Reuters)
11 Mar 2010 at 9:32pm

The Wall Street sign is seen in front of the New York Stock Exchange, October 8, 2009 file photo. REUTERS/Chip EastReuters - The S&P 500 hit a 17-month closing high as rising bank shares led a late rally that lifted stocks on Thursday, more than offsetting worries China may move to cool its overheating economy.




Asian stocks mixed after S&P index clears hurdle (AP)
11 Mar 2010 at 8:32pm

Traders work on the floor of the  New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 9, 2010.(AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)AP - Asian stock markets were mixed in early trading Friday after the Standard & Poor's 500 index closed at a 17-month high with investors worried about inflationary pressures in China.




Summary Box: Regulators appeal on swaps (AP)
11 Mar 2010 at 8:09pm
AP - WARNING ON DERIVATIVES: The head of the Securities and Exchange Commission is calling anew for Congress to impose new oversight on financial derivatives. Mary Schapiro warns that allowing risky instruments like credit default swaps to continue unfettered could bring further economic damage.

Summary Box: S&P 500 index closes at 17-month high (AP)
11 Mar 2010 at 8:04pm
AP - JUST BY A HAIR: The Standard & Poor's 500 index inched just above its recent peak in January to set a new 17-month high. The achievement is a welcome sign for traders who were concerned the market would stall around the January levels.

SEC head urges Congress to act on derivatives (AP)
11 Mar 2010 at 7:31pm

FILE  - In this June 22, 2009 file photo, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Gary Gensler testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, before the Senate Banking Committee. Gensler criticized Wall Street's stance on proposed new oversight for the shadowy $600 trillion derivatives market Thursday, March 11, 2010. Derivatives have been blamed for hastening the 2008 financial crisis.(AP Photo/Susan Walsh, file)AP - The government's top securities regulator called Thursday for Congress to impose new oversight on financial derivatives, warning that allowing risky instruments like credit default swaps to continue unfettered could bring further economic damage.




SEC head prods Congress on derivatives rules (Reuters)
11 Mar 2010 at 5:46pm
Reuters - The top U.S. securities regulator said market watchdogs need to supervise credit default swaps, securities blamed for exacerbating 2008's market meltdown and more recently the Greek debt crisis.

How the major stock indexes fared on Thursday (AP)
11 Mar 2010 at 5:18pm
AP - A rally in financial stocks Thursday helped the market extend its grind higher to a third day.

Stocks climb for 3rd day as financial shares rise (AP)
11 Mar 2010 at 5:02pm

In this March 8, 2010 photo, a sign for Wall Street is shown near the New York Stock Exchange. Stock futures fell slightly after the Labor Department said first-time claims for jobless benefits fell slightly less than expected.(AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)AP - A rally in financial stocks Thursday helped the market extend its grind higher to a third day.




A look at global economic developments (AP)
11 Mar 2010 at 4:21pm
AP - A look at economic developments and activity in major stock markets around the world Thursday:

Appetite for reform fading: NYSE Euronext CEO (Reuters)
11 Mar 2010 at 12:27pm
Reuters - The appetite and sense of urgency for world financial reform have waned as markets have rebounded and the world economy has shown signs of recovering, the head of exchange operator NYSE Euronext said on Thursday.

FTSE shares end in the red (AFP)
11 Mar 2010 at 11:11am

FTSE 100 shares ended in the red after the latest batch of mixed economic data and company reports.(AFP/File/Shaun Curry)AFP - FTSE 100 shares ended in the red on Thursday after the latest batch of mixed economic data and company reports.




FTSE 100 opens lower (AFP)
11 Mar 2010 at 6:09am

Leading shares weakened after unconvincing gains overnight on Wall Street as investors mulled the latest economic data and company news.(AFP/File/Shaun Curry)AFP - Leading shares weakened on Thursday after unconvincing gains overnight on Wall Street as investors mulled the latest economic data and company news.




European stock markets weaken (AFP)
11 Mar 2010 at 5:24am

A stock broker at the Frankfurt stock exchange on February 5. Europe's main stock markets weakened after unconvincing gains overnight on Wall Street as investors mulled the latest economic data and company news.(AFP/DDP/File/Thomas Lohnes)AFP - Europe's main stock markets weakened Thursday after unconvincing gains overnight on Wall Street as investors mulled the latest economic data and company news.




China inflation spike weakens equities (Reuters)
11 Mar 2010 at 3:02am

The share price indicator for Macquarie Group is seen in red on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) board in central Sydney February 9, 2010. REUTERS/Daniel MunozReuters - A spike in Chinese inflation weakened equity markets on Thursday, as investors pondered the prospects of interest rate hikes in one of the world's main economic drivers.




A decade later, lessons in the Nasdaq collapse (Reuters)
10 Mar 2010 at 10:37am
Reuters - Ten years ago today, before the dot-com bubble burst, the Nasdaq composite index hit a record 5,132.52 points -- a peak that the technology-heavy market shows no sign of scaling again any time soon.

Buffett kept distance from Lehman - Reuters
11 Mar 2010 at 9:09pm

Telegraph.co.uk

Buffett kept distance from Lehman
Reuters
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Warren Buffett had at least three opportunities in 2008 to help Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, but failure to enlist his aid contributed to Lehman's bankruptcy and the global financial crisis, a court-appointed examiner said. ...
Report Details How Lehman Hid Its Woes as It CollapsedNew York Times
Examiner: Lehman Torpedoed LehmanWall Street Journal
Lehman Bros. accounting trickery allegedLos Angeles Times
The Guardian -NEWS.com.au -Forbes (blog)
all 202 news articles »

Democrats Push Ahead on Finance Bill - New York Times
11 Mar 2010 at 9:06pm

Washington Post

Democrats Push Ahead on Finance Bill
New York Times
Senator Christopher J. Dodd, the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, on Capitol Hill on Wednesday. By SEWELL CHAN WASHINGTON — Democrats said on Thursday that they would go it alone in an effort to pass an overhaul of financial regulation, ...
Financial system reforms won't waitWashington Post
Senator to offer financial regulation billBradenton Herald
Dodd Ends Talks, Says Financial Bill Will Include Corker IdeasBusinessWeek
Los Angeles Times -MarketWatch -Knoxville News Sentinel
all 552 news articles »

Microsoft's Xbox Sales Beat Wii, PS3 in February on 'BioShock' - BusinessWeek
11 Mar 2010 at 10:06pm

Gaming Union

Microsoft's Xbox Sales Beat Wii, PS3 in February on 'BioShock'
BusinessWeek
March 12 (Bloomberg) -- Microsoft Corp.'s Xbox 360 beat Nintendo Co.'s Wii and Sony Corp.'s PlayStation 3 last month to become the best-selling video-game console in the US for the first time in more than two years, ...
Survey: Video Game Hardware, Software Sales Decline In FebWall Street Journal
February video game sales drop 15 percentThe Associated Press
NPD Totals USA Video Game Sales for February 2009VGChartz
PSX Extreme -Gaming Union -Reuters
all 207 news articles »

Nikkei hits 7-week high as yen helps - Reuters
11 Mar 2010 at 9:12pm

Washington Post

Nikkei hits 7-week high as yen helps
Reuters
TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei average hit a seven-week high on Friday, with investors encouraged by a weaker yen amid speculation that the Bank of Japan may take additional steps to ease monetary policy. Hitachi (6501.T) rose 1.6 percent after its ...
Japan Stocks: Daito Woolen, Fuji Heavy, Isuzu, Takara BioBusinessWeek
Bank of Japan may double lending programMarketWatch
Nikkei gains in spite of weak growth dataFinancial Times
Sydney Morning Herald -Reuters -BusinessWeek
all 334 news articles »

Toyota discounts boost sales - Reuters
11 Mar 2010 at 10:20pm

Reuters

Toyota discounts boost sales
Reuters
DETROIT/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Unprecedented discounts after a series of damaging recalls boosted Toyota Motor Corp's US sales in early March, as US regulators weighed new auto safety measures. Toyota's US sales surged by nearly 50 percent in the first ...
Incentives lift Toyota U.S. sales, market shareMarketWatch
Toyota Seeks 2010 Recovery for Most of Lost US Market ShareBusinessWeek
Despite Recall Crisis, Toyota Sales Boosted by 0% FinancingeCreditDaily.com
msnbc.com -Benzinga -Bizjournals.com
all 235 news articles »

Director says NHTSA responded properly on Toyota's problems - Washington Post
11 Mar 2010 at 9:02pm

Seattle Post Intelligencer

Director says NHTSA responded properly on Toyota's problems
Washington Post
The chief of the nation's auto safety regulators rejected criticism on Thursday that his agency made mistakes and responded too slowly to years of complaints regarding runaway Toyotas. David L. Strickland, administrator of the ...
Leader defends NHTSA's response to Toyota complaintsLos Angeles Times
US Mulls New Rules On Car Brakes,Black Boxes-NHTSAWall Street Journal
Toyota Recalls Show Agency Did Its Job, NHTSA's Strickland SaysBusinessWeek
Reuters -The Associated Press
all 643 news articles »

World's Richest Man Speaks - Forbes
11 Mar 2010 at 7:07pm

Telegraph.co.uk

World's Richest Man Speaks
Forbes
Carlos Slim Helu thinks Latin America is poised for growth. That will be good for the poor--and for him. With more than 200 businesses, Carlos Slim Helu shapes virtually every industry under the Mexican sol. He's got interests in telecom, retail, ...
Mexico's Slim becomes 'world's richest' personGoErie.com
Pegs Mexican tycoon's fortune at $53.5 billion, ahead of Gates and BuffettMarketWatch
Slim Passes Gates, Buffett to Become Forbes RichestBusinessWeek
USA Today -San Jose Mercury News -BBC News
all 1,407 news articles »

Japan govt picks power firm exec for BOJ board - Reuters
11 Mar 2010 at 10:43pm

RTE.ie

Japan govt picks power firm exec for BOJ board
Reuters
TOKYO, March 12 (Reuters) - Japan's government on Friday named Yoshihisa Morimoto, a director at the country's largest electric power company, as a candidate to join the central bank's policy board. The 65-year-old executive at ...
Yen Trades Near 2-Week Low; Kan Says Intervention Is an OptionBloomberg
Japan Nominates Morimoto to Bank of Japan BoardBusinessWeek
BOJ Shirakawa: Easy Credit Policy To Have Some Impact On FXMarket News International
Reuters India -Kyodo News -Reuters
all 181 news articles »

Airline Group, Citing Emerging Markets, Lowers Loss Forecast - New York Times
11 Mar 2010 at 10:02pm

BBC News

Airline Group, Citing Emerging Markets, Lowers Loss Forecast
New York Times
A leading airline trade group cut its forecast for industry losses this year in half on Thursday because of what it said was a stronger-than-expected economic recovery in emerging markets, especially in Asia and Latin America. ...
US airlines flew fewer passengers in 2009USA Today
IATA halves forecast 2010 loss to $2.8 billion from $5.6 billionATWOnline
Brighter outlook for international airlinesCNNMoney.com
Wall Street Journal -BusinessWeek -BBC News
all 366 news articles »

Oil steady above $82, set for 2nd weekly gain - Reuters
11 Mar 2010 at 9:11pm

Boston Globe

Oil steady above $82, set for 2nd weekly gain
Reuters
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil was steady above $82 on Friday, poised for a second consecutive weekly increase, on views that energy demand will continue to grow despite any efforts by China to tighten monetary policy further on rising inflation. ...
Oil hovers above $82 as month-long rally stallsThe Associated Press
OIL FUTURES: Crude Unchanged; Markets Mull China InflationWall Street Journal
OIL FUTURES: Crude Falls In Asia On Stronger Dlr,Weaker EquitiesMarketWatch
Reuters -Reuters -Reuters
all 2,039 news articles »

Is Boone Pickens Plan a step in the right direction for energy independence?
8 Jul 2008 at 4:40pm

If you have been watching the news at all today you have probably already hard of Boone Pickens and his new plan to help our country become less dependent on foreign oil. The Texas oil tycoon is making all the rounds trying to get the word out about his new website PickensPlan.com. Earlier today Pickens was on Squawk Box touting his plan, and also had a major article in today's USA Today. boone%20pickens.jpg

The basics of the plan are that Boone Pickens believes America should utilize wind power as a major source of our electric power generation. He believes that more than 20% of our country's electric power usage could be wind generated within the next few years. Pickens is putting his money where his mouth is and building the world's largest wind farm in Texas.

So how does the wind power help our situation with gasoline prices? Pickens believes that natural gas is the cleanest form of transportation fuel available today. The problem is, our country doesn't use natural gas for transportation becaue it is being used for electric generation. Pickens believes that since these natural gas resources are cheaper (less than $1 gallon right now in some places) and are available in the United States we should use these for fuel transportation. By using our country's natural gas resources we could dramatically reduce our need for foreign oil, which in turn should drive down the price of oil substantially.



Violent swings in the market- what do they mean for the short term?
7 Jul 2008 at 4:04pm

Today was one of those days on wall street where there are violent intraday swings in both directions. The market opened strong, but by 2 pm the Dow was down more than 160 points. Between 2pm eastern and 3:45 the Dow jumped back into positive territory for the day, before sellers rushed back in and the Dow finished down by 57 points. If you just pick up the paper and see the final numbers on today's trading you'll think it was a monotonous minor selloff, but that was far from the case.question%20mark.jpg

Why do these kind of violent intraday swings happen in the market? When do these swings usually take place? How can you profit from this extreme volatility? These are the questions I will attempt to answer in this post.



What to make of the June employment report
6 Jul 2008 at 3:06pm

On Thursday the June employment report was released by the Labor Department. The news wasn't good, but it could have been worse. Employers cut 62,000 workers in the month of June and the jobless rate held steady at 5.5%. Also in the report, April and May's job losses were increased by 52,000 total. Through the first half of 2008 the U.S. economy has now lost 438,000 jobs. magnifying%20glass.jpg

Let's put the job losses into a little bit of perspective. In 2002 during the most recent economic recession job losses were averaging over 200,000 a month. What we are seeing right now is not the sign of a deep recession, but there are some signs it could be getting worse rather than better. Just this past week the jobless claims jumped to 404,000, the highest level since March. In general any number above 400,000 is considered recessionary. Any continuance of an increase in the jobless claims numbers will almost certainly show up in the next couple employment reports.



Top 5 beaten down blue-chips
2 Jul 2008 at 11:35am

As we all know, the stock market has been hit very hard in the last few weeks. There are many blue chip names that have been beaten down to levels they haven't seen in years. While it may not seem that way right now, there are going to prove to be some real deals in the long run on some companies that have proven themselves time and time again. These are five names that I believe could prove to be a value at today's price sometime in the not too distant future.

Top 5 Beaten Down Blue Chips

General Electric (NYSE:GE) There isn't one thing that stands out in my mind as a reason to buy GE except for the fact that this stock is just too cheap on a historical valuation basis. The stock trades lower today than it did 10 years ago. The dividend yield is a very impressive 4.62%. Give this company time to turn it around and rake in the yield while your waiting.Walgreen Company (NYSE:WAG) WAG isn't even my favorite name in this space, that is CVS Caremark (NYSE:CVS), but this company has proven itself numerous times. The company got slightly behind when CVS joined with Caremark, but Walgreen is getting things back together. They are cutting costs nicely and should be able to return to constant double-digit earnings growth. UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) Anything that can possibly go wrong for UNH has done so in the past couple of years. The whole managed care group has been beaten down badly in the last few months because of a major slowdown in earnings growth, but the business coca%20cola1.jpgisn't going away. Warren Buffett is still buying this name as it drops, which is a good reason to consider it.The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO) This stock hasn't taken the lumps that the first three have, but it has been surprisingly weak of late. The stock yields 3% and trades just barely higher than it did 5 years ago. The weak dollar should help them benefit quite nicely.Starbucks Corporation (Nasdaq:SBUX) Starbucks was an amazing stock for years, but the tables have turned quite quickly of late. The stock is down 40% in the last year. Starbucks just today announced that it will close 600 unprofitable stores to help cut costs and get things going on the right path again. They will never be able to get back the outrageous growth rates they previously had, but this company isn't going away anytime soon.

Be smart when picking dividend yielding stocks
29 Jun 2008 at 9:51pm

In a tough market like we have right now you will hear a lot of experts say that high dividend stocks are the safest stocks to be in. This notion is true, but there is one big caveat, only if their dividend is safe. The amateur investor can login to Google Finance or Yahoo Finance and check for the highest yielding stocks and just buy the very highest, but trust me when I say it isn't that easy.newspaper.jpg

Like many other things in life, if a yield seems too high to be true, it probably is. Case in point is KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), which on June 12th announced it would be cutting its dividend by 50% because it needed to save money and raise new equity.  Those investors who had decided to purchase KEY just before that because of its great dividend were surely disappointed. This is just one example, and it can certainly be much worse in some circumstances. When companies are having a great amount of financial difficulties it isn't unusual to see them get rid of their dividend altogether.

Currently the highest yielding stock on the S&P 500 is MBIA (NYSE:MBI). The stock is yielding 32.61% despite the fact that it is widely being rumored to be a possible bankruptcy candidate in the near future. Do you really think this is a good stock to buy based on a great dividend payout? Of course it isn't.

So what kind of dividend stock is the type you want to look for? Look for a company that is growing earnings at the same time it is growing its dividend. You don't want the dividend yield to be high because the stock has fallen to the lowest of lows, rather you want a stock that has a good solid dividend yield because the company raises its yield consistently. A good example of this is Johnson and Johnson (NYSE:JNJ). The company yields just under 3% a year, but has raised its dividend payout for an unbelievable 46 straight years! Now that is a dividend stock that an investor can count on.

Don't be lured into thinking that the highest dividend yielding stocks are the best dividend stock investments. Do your research and check out the financial standing of the company. In order to growyourfunds you can't take the easy way out!



How I spent my stimulus website gains popularity
27 Jun 2008 at 4:42pm

One of the most interesting websites I have seen that has been recently created is howispentmystimulus. The site is dedicated to collecting stories from people who have received economic stimulus checks on exactly how they used that money. How does it work? First, you simply go to the website and click on the tell your story button at the top of the site to get to the entry page. You then must upload a photo of either yourself or your purchase and then you start typing up your story in 250 characters or less. After putting your name and address information in the entry, you'll be ready to submit your entry. The entry process itself is very simple.cash.jpg

The site puts all the entries into categories so that users who browse to the site can see what categories have the most entries. Currently, travel and vacation is just edging out vehicle and gas for the top spot on the list. The debt and credit card section is fourth and the invest/save section is ranked sixth most popular. Based on my earlier post regarding what you should do with your stimulus check, you know that I believe the wisest move is to pay off all your debts and whatever is left over, invest it.



Is the Fed being too soft on inflation? Are they to blame for recent market l...
26 Jun 2008 at 9:12pm

All across the street today there was a heated discussion going on of whether the Federal Reserve is to blame for the recent market action and today's steep losses in all the major indices. Many out there were saying that by holding rates steady yesterday the Fed was abandoning its strong dollar and inflation fighting policy stance. Larry Kudlow, who has a nightly show on CNBC, made his opinion known tonight. Kudlow said that he believes today's action was certainly because of the Fed and that oil and gold prices today back that up. He is certainly not alone in his thoughts, as many on the street believe that the Fed has dropped the ball and that prices are going to get much worse in a hurry. ben%20bernanke%202.jpg

Are those who believe the Fed is being too soft on inflation and the dollar spot on, or are they off the mark? This is a very difficult question which has more than one logical answer.



Widespread pain on the street as stocks are crushed
26 Jun 2008 at 6:26pm

Things got very ugly today on the street as stocks were hit with their second largest down day this year. Good news was nowhere to be found today as oil topped $140, and Goldman downgraded General Motors and Citigroup. The Dow tanked by 358 points. The Nasdaq plunged 80 points. The broader S&P 500 fell 39 points, or 3%.bear%20growling.jpg

There was nowhere to hide in the stock market today, but the biggest sector losers were financials, technology, and capital goods.

Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) shares shed another 6.76% and hit a new low today after announcing it will layoff 7,500 employees after the Countrywide deal closes. American Express (NYSE:AXP) hit a 5 year low today, falling 5.01% on strong volume. Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) shares plunged by 7.15% in today's trading. NYSE Euronext (NYSE:NYX) fell 5.07% and hit a 52 week low. Principal Financial (NYSE:PFG) also hit a new low today, falling by 7.6%.

Tech stocks were hurt by investors belief that Research in Motion future forecasts cast some doubts about tech spending in the next few quarters. Baidu.com (Nasdaq:BIDU) shares lost 5.22% on average volume. Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM), which has been one of the strongest tech stocks of late, fell by 5.12% today. Sandisk Corporation (Nasdaq:SNDK) fell 5.05% and has now lost almost 60% in the last year. MEMC Electronic Materials (NYSE:WFR) fell 5.23% as all of the solar plays weakened throughout the day.

The capital goods sector was also hit hard today. Jacobs Engineering Group (NYSE:JEC) fell 5.14% on the day as the construction services group fell across the board. Manitowoc (NYSE:MTW) plunged more than 7% on the session. Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN) shares plunged 8.44% during the session, but are rising afterhours as the company reported smaller than expected losses.

Notable 52 week lows

Honeywell International (NYSE:HON) Shares fell by 4.58% on the session.Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS) Shares lost 5.98% and are down 53.49% in the last 6 months alone.Allegheny Technologies (NYSE:ATI) This company is in a space where most companies have done well, but they have missed out in a big way.Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) If you want to look for the weakest large cap energy stock in the past few months, this is it. It lost another 5.69% today.

Consumer confidence expectations index hits all-time low. What's next for the...
24 Jun 2008 at 6:57pm

There are many ways to interpret consumer confidence reports and how useful they are to predict consumer spending trends, but there is no denying that today's report was shockingly weak. The Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 50.4 in June, well below expectations of a decline to 56. This is the fifth weakest level ever recorded by this index and it is the weakest since 1992.

What really stands out to me inside this report is the future Expectations index. caution%20sign.jpgThe future Expectations index hit an All-Time low, plunging to a terribly discouraging level of 41. This index tracks how consumers feel about the future of the economy. Obviously, consumers across the country are expressing their belief that the economy is going into the tank in a hurry.



The rich get richer and the poor get poorer
23 Jun 2008 at 7:50pm

It's the continuing story of the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer on wall street. No I don't mean traders, I mean the sectors that have done well continue to do so, while those that have lagged the market are accelerating to the downside. Today the Dow fell by less than one point, while the Nasdaq was down by 20 points. The S&P 500 was almost exactly unchanged. wall%20street%20sign.jpg

It was a completely tug of war on wall street as the energy and basic material sectors pulled the market higher but the financials and the transports drug the market lower.

Take a look at the damage being done in the financial and transportation sector as far as the 52 week low list. All these names hit new 52 week lows today:

52 week lows in the financial and transportation sectors

Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Shares fell 4.5% as the company continues to be dogged by its impending takeover of Countrywide Financial (NYSE:CFC).Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) Wells Fargo has actually been one of the best performing banks through this credit market meltdown, but it has been hit some of late as well. MBIA Inc. (NYSE:MBI) This stock plunged another 13.77% today and bankruptcy fears are starting to mount.Northwest Airlines (NYSE:NWA) This stock plunged 17.27% today as its CEO blamed speculators for the high price of fuel NWA is paying for. Jet Blue (Nasdaq:JBLU) JBLU shares fell 6.58% and are now trading below $4 a share.Ameriprise Financial (NYSE:AMP) Even this financial planning behemoth is feeling the pain these days. Warren Buffett got off board and the market has followed his lead.

At the same time these stocks are floundering because of economic worries, we have other companies who have no issue with where the economy is right now. The problem with that is they are basic material and energy names. This means that consumers are paying outrageous prices at the grocery and the gas tanks, but I'm sure that you already knew that unless you live under a rock.

In fact, despite the overall markets weakness of late there are a few notable new 52 week highs in this group today.

52 week highs in the energy and basic materials sectors

National Oilwell Varco (NYSE:NOV) This stock surged another 8.36% today. Can the times get any better for them?Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL) Shares jumped 5.96% after news the company is giving up its pursuit of Expro.United States Steel (NYSE:X) This steel powerhouse has been a steady gainer in the last few days and hit a new high today.Helmerich and Payne (NYSE:HP) For a stock that went nowhere for so long this thing is on the move in the last 6 months in a huge way. The stock has gained almost 100% in 6 months time after sitting near unchanged for more than 2 years before that.Praxair (NYSE:PX) Slowly but surely this thing continues to hit new highs on strong volume.

Basically the main loser in this is the consumer. The two groups that are doing so well are only doing well because of huge gains in prices that are being passed on to consumers. It obviously also isn't in the best interest of consumers to have transports or financials doing so poorly.

When will this trend end? There is no end in sight, but things certainly will change over time. In the past as the street was the most negative on these sectors they turned it around, and it will surely happen again, but when?



Saudi Arabia boosts oil supply, but will it matter?
22 Jun 2008 at 9:01pm

Saudi Arabia announced today that it will increase production for a third-straight month in an effort to curb record oil prices. The kingdom plans to raise its production by 200,000 barrels to 9.7 million barrels next month. While this can't be taken as bad news, it seems that there are already a lot of skeptics as to whether this will actually cause crude oil prices to move lower. John Hall, of John Hall associates believes that in order for the increase to make oil prices move lower at all it would have to be at least 500,000 barrels a month.oil.jpg

Many, including myself, believe that this is nothing more than a public relations move on the Saudis part. They want to be seen as doing everything they can to drive the price of oil lower. In reality, the Saudis themselves know very well that this small increase will do virtually nothing in the whole scheme of things. The longer term problems will remain, and those who continue to think that supply is meeting demand are simply kidding themselves. The Saudis want to attribute the crude oil gains to pure speculation in the oil market because then they won't be pressured as strongly to increase production drastically.



What's the deal with Ohio and its regional banks?
19 Jun 2008 at 7:44pm

We all know that the banking sector is extremely out of favor on wall street, but what on earth is going on in Ohio? Since I reside in Columbus, Ohio I thought I would take a brief look at this amazingly unloved group.

There are four major regional banks headquarted in the Buckeye state. The biggest of them from a market cap standpoint is Fifth Third Bancorp (Nasdaq:FITB). The second largest in the group is KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY). The third largest is National City Corporation (NYSE:NCC). The smallest of the big four is fifth%20third.jpgHuntington Bancshares (Nasdaq:HBAN). 

Let's take a quick look at the performance of each of these stocks:

KeyCorp- Shares have fallen 69% in the past year and 52% in the last month alone.Fifth Third- This stock has fallen 77% in the last year and 52% in the last month.Huntington- This stock has lost 77% in the last year and 45% in the last month.National City- This stock has plunged 85% in the last year and has lost 12% in the past month.

As you can see, the pain in the Buckeye state is extremely widespread. National City has fallen the hardest and was the first to fall because of their high amounts of exposure to risky mortgages. Fifth Third and Key have both warned of extensive write downs and cut their dividend by 60% and 50% respectively. Huntington just tonight announced that it expects 2008 chargeoffs to be at the high side of current expectations.



So is it oil speculation or is it demand?
18 Jun 2008 at 7:30pm

Over the past few weeks the debate has been raging, is it speculation driving oil prices or is it pure economics 101, not enough supply to keep up with demand? There are some big names on both sides. George Soros has been public about his belief that oil speculators have driven the recent price surge and that something must be done about it. Soros believes that speculators are causing a bubble in oil that could cause a massive recession in the American and global economies. Jim Cramer, the famous host of CNBC's Mad Money, is on the other side of this argument. Jim believes that oil prices are high because demand is rampant. Cramer also says that people should get use to the high oil prices, because they are here to stay. oil%20refinery.jpg

The truth here is that both of the crowds have a sound argument. Demand form foreign nations has absolutely skyrocketed for a number of reasons, not the least of which is that many Chinese are buying cars now instead of riding bicycles. Supply also has not grown because there have been no more oil finds and OPEC is perfectly happy with high prices. On the other hand, the speculation argument is lent plenty of credence when we consistently see the massive swings in oil prices that we have recently. Oil prices gaining $11 in one day is almost unheard of, and for someone to say there is no speculation there, they are crazy.



What you should do with your tax rebate/economic stimulus check
17 Jun 2008 at 7:30pm

GrowYourFunds RSS readers know by now that the real passion of mine is the stock market, but today I wanted to step back and look at a personal finance issue. I wanted to follow up yesterday's post regarding which companies are poised to benefit from the spending of economic stimulus checks by taking a look at what you should do with your tax rebate/economic stimulus check.cash.jpg

The most obvious answer to this question is that it depends on your situation, but there are some steps you can take a look at to decide which category you might fit in.

The first thing you should do is look at any debt you may have. If you have any kind of debt you must pay it off first. Many Americans have credit card debt and they are being eaten alive by it. The average rate Americans are paying on that debt is about 13%, which means if you have $1,000 of debt you are paying $130 a year on that debt. You simply cannot afford to pay that high of an interest rate if you can avoid it at all. If you have debt then you need to pay it off before anything else, period.



5 Stocks that should benefit from economic stimulus spending
16 Jun 2008 at 7:24pm

Since the economic stimulus checks have either been received or will soon be received by almost all Americans, I wanted to take tonight to look at five stocks that should benefit quite nicely from those checks. We all know that when Americans receive a check of $600 or even $1200, many will end up putting alot of that back in the economy even if they do want to try to save some money up. What kind of places will they probably be spending it most? What stocks could receive a near-term bounce because of this bump?retail%20sales.jpg

Top 5 Stocks to Benefit from Economic Stimulus Check Spending

Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) Best Buy is the perfect kind of company to get sales increases from economic stimulus spending. When the American consumer gets a check that they weren't counting on, many like to spend it on discretionary spending items such as the newest electronics and gadgets. Best Buy releases its earnings tomorrow morning so we may see soon if they are seeing any boost. Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) Apple really is here for many of the same reasons, but it also has the 3G iPhone working for it. The release date of July 11th is bound to have some consumers putting much of their check into a new iPhone. The recently upgraded iPods should also be selling well through the summer with this economic stimulus boost.Children's Place Retail Stores (Nasdaq:PLCE) This company seems to be in the process of a major and impressive turnaround. It makes a lot of sense that there will be some extra money spent on some children's clothing because of the stimulus checks and PLCE serves to benefit from it and its continuing turnaround. Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS) In my opinion it is unfortunate that a company like Las Vegas Sands would benefit from economic stimulus checks, but I think they will. I believe consumers would do much better investing their money in a stock or a mutual fund than gambling with their stimulus check, but its bound to happen in plenty of cases. Tiffany and Company (NYSE:TIF) Fine jewelers generally receive a nice little boost at any time that discretionary spending gets a quick pop. TIF could very well see a short-term pop in sales from middle class consumers reaching up to purchase higher end products.

Mortgage rates remain below 5 percent
11 Mar 2010 at 11:09pm
The average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 4.95 percent this week, down from 4.97 percent a week earlier, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said.

Asian stocks mixed after S&P index clears hurdle
11 Mar 2010 at 11:08pm
Asian stock markets were mixed in early trading Friday after the Standard&Poor's 500 index closed at a 17-month high with investors worried about inflationary pressures in China.

Slowly, Americans are regaining their lost wealth
11 Mar 2010 at 11:08pm
Household net worth rose last quarter, mainly because the healing economy boosted stock portfolios.

S&P 500 hits 17-month high as banks lift Wall Street
11 Mar 2010 at 11:08pm
The S&P 500 hit a 17-month closing high as rising bank shares led a late rally that lifted stocks on Thursday, more than offsetting worries China may move to cool its overheating economy.

Stocks climb for 3rd day as financial shares rise
11 Mar 2010 at 11:08pm
The Standard & Poor's 500 index cleared an important hurdle watched by traders when it closed just above its January peak to set a new 17-month high.

Love those bonds
11 Mar 2010 at 7:02pm
Demand was so strong for California's $2-billion tax-free bond offering that Treasurer Bill Lockyer upped it to $2.5 billion.

When Daily, Weekly, and Monthly Sell Signals Align
11 Mar 2010 at 12:15pm
Editor's Note: The following was posted in real time on our premium Buzz & Banter .

MBS Lunch: 30 Year Bond Auction Results and Reactions
11 Mar 2010 at 12:09pm
The previously discussed auction concession must have been sufficient because the long bond auction went very well.

Financial stocks give market its third consecutive boost
11 Mar 2010 at 11:02pm
A rally in financial stocks Thursday helped the market move higher a third straight day.The Standard & Poors 500 index cleared an important hurdle watched by traders when it closed just above its January peak and set a 17-month high.

Americans' net worth increases with stocks
11 Mar 2010 at 11:01pm
Americans are recovering their shrunken wealth -- gradually. Household net worth rose last quarter, mainly because the healing economy boosted stock portfolios.

Rates are mixed after strong 30-year bond auction
11 Mar 2010 at 10:42pm
Interest rates were mixed in the bond market Thursday after a government auction of 30-year bonds drew the highest demand since September.

Stocks Up For A Third Day Thursday
11 Mar 2010 at 10:38pm
NEW YORK a 'Stocks closed higher Thursday for a third day after a rally in financial shares helped offset concerns about rising inflation in China.

U.S. stocks end higher after early struggle
11 Mar 2010 at 10:36pm
A late rally in bank shares pushed the major indices in the black Thursday. Shares initially fell after data was released showing jobless claims fell only marginally last week.

Personal Indicators Color Perception Of Turna...
11 Mar 2010 at 10:33pm
Professional economists tend to judge the state of things with big numbers. Think of the unemployment rate, gross domestic product, and stuff like that.

AOFM issues bonds for March
11 Mar 2010 at 10:29pm
The Australian Office of Financial Management will hold the following tenders for the issue of Commonwealth Government Securities.

The Rules, Part II: Speculation and Hedging
11 Mar 2010 at 5:17pm
David Merkel submits: First, I disagree with Volcker and Sarkozy regarding supporting Greece, versus the Euro. If Greece defaulted, Greece would lose the low cost funding of the Euro. The Eurozone would lose a country, but the Euro would retain its strength, and marginal nations prone to cheating would come into line. Tough love is the best policy; don’t bail others out if you care about the union as a whole. On to tonight’s rule: Unless there is a natural purchaser of an exposure that one is trying to hedge, someone must speculate to a degree to allow you to hedge. If the speculator is undercapitalized, risks to the financial system rise.Complete Story »

Gold, Commodities, Stocks and the Yield Curve
11 Mar 2010 at 5:07pm
Kurt Brouwer submits: If you want to figure out if gold or commodities will outperform more standard assets such as stocks and bonds, then take a look at the impact interest rate environments have on gold, commodities, stocks, REITs and bonds. The starting point is the yield curve, which refers to the relationship between the yield on long-term Treasuries (such as the 10-year Treasury) versus 90-day Treasury Bills. Currently, the yield differential is very high with 10-year Treasuries at 3.73% versus 90-day T Bills at 0.14%. The curve is usually expressed as the 10-year Treasury minus the 90-day T Bill. So, if the 10-year Treasury were at a yield of 4% and the 90-day T Bill had a yield of 2%, then the differential would be 2%. In fact, the differential today is well over 3%, so we now have a very steep yield curve. Here is a chart showing the current yield curve from Bloomberg:Complete Story »

Today in Commodities: Where Next?
11 Mar 2010 at 3:16pm
Matthew Bradbard submits: Markets seem to be waiting for some type of catalyst to determine the direction of the next leg. It was an inside day in Crude oil as prices hover around $82/barrel. For new entries we still like the idea of $5 put spreads, but we would start looking at the June as opposed to May contract. If currently in the May, we would try to buy back the bottom leg; we have suggested for clients to buy back their $70 puts and that would leave them long the $75 puts. It was a disappointing day for longs in natural gas as yesterday could prove to be just a head fake. Clients remain long via April futures and June call spreads as prices were off 2.4% today. As of this post, indices are at the high of the day; we think we are close to an inflection point but we’ve been wrong for the past two weeks. If the S&P closes above 1148, exit short futures at a loss. It's been a fourth consecutive down day in sugar but we are assuming yesterday’s low at 18.82 in May will serve as support. May cotton has lost 3.8% in the last 5 session and closed below the 20 day moving average for the first time since February 8th. We are expecting another 2-4 cents and will then be advising clients to lift shorts. Complete Story »

Market Slows, Reflect Global Trade
11 Mar 2010 at 2:09pm
Wall Street Strategies submits:By Charles PayneGlobal economic data out today is akin to Goldilocks and the Three Bears except that there is no sweet little girl in this story, rather two bowls of economic growth - one that is too little and one bowl that's too hot.Complete Story »

Valuable Ideas From the Value Investing Congress
11 Mar 2010 at 12:57pm
Jeff Moore submits:When considering making a trip to either California or New York to attend the Value Investing Congress, it is important to gauge the returns that you will get from this potential investment. As many of you know, I recently ventured to NYC for the previous Value Investing Congress. Simply put, I thought that the experience was great, full of useful information, and of course a terrific excuse to take a much undeserved vacation.Various memories of the congress still stick out to me: I met some new people, and also had good conversations with old acquaintances. David Einhorn's speech was memorable (as I am sure many of you have read), but the Q&A was even better. Bill Ackman espoused enough knowledge to make an intelligent layman feel as simple as Glen Beck. Whitney Tilson highlighted how we are not out of the woods with housing, but that the markets may not tank as a result, while John Paulson was as informative as ever.Complete Story »

S&P 1150: What's the Potential Endgame?
11 Mar 2010 at 12:46pm
Trader Mark submits:A famous saying on the Street is the market will do whatever causes the most pain to the most people. With dip buyers relentlessly using every 20-minute selloff as a chance to buy stock in egregious fashion (once more again this morning), I am trying to think of how this move finally relents. If this were any other year than 2009-2010, during which low volume V-shaped moves have crippled any historical analysis, I would have the easy answer. But since the way the market now acts is completely foreign to me, I feel like a guy without sight... in a dark cave no less.But, I would speculate that in the market of 1996-2007 (ex. 1999) the move that would cause the most pain is a move over S&P 1150. This would crush the spirit of any last remaining holdouts. It would cause them to toss up their hands, and say "fine, I'm going to join the party too; here is a breakout, new highs for the year, etc, etc." At that point, it would appear that everyone would be on the same side of the trade as the "market can only go up" and "there are no dips to be found." So, as buyers rush in, perhaps we get an extra 5-10-15 S&P points, and then we would finally reverse as there would be no one left to buy. That's how the old market would work in my opinion. (Click to enlarge)Complete Story »

A China Catalyst?
11 Mar 2010 at 12:21pm
Macro Man submits: Although he personally finds equity markets to be fairly uninteresting at the moment, caught in some sort of soul-destroying (for those short stocks or long volatility) drift higher, Macro Man has noticed a slight uptick in throat-clearing and finger-twitching from stock market bears of his acquaintance. Practitioners of chart-reading esoterica appear to be aligning around a view that a top is imminent; although he is not a card-carrying member of the Elliot Wave or (especially) Demark club, your author does tend to at least raise an eyebrow when their assorted congregations begin singing from the same hymn sheet.In that vein, there are a couple of developments that may warrant attention. Gold (GLD), which until very recently had shrugged off dollar strength (or at least euro weakness) amdist stories of Chinese reserve buying, performed noticably poorly yesterday. Not only did it break the uptrend line off of the year's low, but it also has breached the 55-day moving average, which suggests that some of the momentum crowd may start bailing soon. And if gold loses its luster, the risks must surely rise that equities will, at least temporarily, find that their recent shine gets tarnished.Complete Story »

What Would Happen if (Almost) All Asset Classes Fell Together?
11 Mar 2010 at 12:15pm
Charles Hugh Smith submits: Since virtually all asset classes rose together, why can't they all fall together, too?Just as a thought experiment: As the wheels fall off the bogus "global recovery" story, what if all asset classes fall together (with one exception)? This is what I call the "nowhere to hide" scenario, and the case for it can be made with the following charts.Chart One: Tight correlation of assets.Complete Story »

Why Inflation Is Worse for Investors Than Default
11 Mar 2010 at 12:06pm
Felix Salmon submits: Turan Bali, Stephen Brown, and Mustafa Caglayan have a new paper out with an interesting result: The two most important findings from this study are summarized as follows: (i) hedge funds with higher exposure to default risk premium in the past month generate higher returns in the following month; (ii) hedge funds with lower exposure to inflation in the past month generate higher returns in the following month.Complete Story »

Risk Asset Measures: An Update
11 Mar 2010 at 11:12am
Brett Steenbarger submits: .Please see this post for an explanation of the risk asset index that I recently constructed (top chart); this post will provide background regarding the risk asset oscillator (bottom chart). Click charts to enlarge.Complete Story »

Thursday Preview: New Billionaires Are Doing Great, How About You?
11 Mar 2010 at 9:48am
Phil Davis submits: 218 new billionaires averaged $500M in gains last year - how are YOU doing?That’s right, the new Forbes list is out where we celebrate the top .000014%!Complete Story »

U.S. Exporters Take a Page From China’s Book
11 Mar 2010 at 9:34am
Wall Street Cheat Sheet submits: by Carolyn AustinThis year is shaping up to be a better year, tradewise, than 2009. But you wouldn’t know it by looking at Thursday’s jobless claims. The latest data from the US Census Bureau show a bullish picture for exports and a strengthening economic position at home when compared to January 2009 data. Seems like US manufacturers are getting more aggressive now that domestic demand can’t carry the load alone.Complete Story »

Morning Report: China Inflation Fears Rise, Futures Slip
11 Mar 2010 at 8:23am
optionMONSTER submits: US stock index futures are fractionally lower this morning after a mixed-bag session in Asia and currently weak trading in Eurozone and U.K. markets. The biggest headline news of the day doesn't concern a company or the United States. It is instead the flare-up of inflation in China that has markets most concerned. Complete Story »

Christopher Thornberg: Double Dip Is Coming in 2011
11 Mar 2010 at 8:21am
The Pragmatic Capitalist submits: In a recent presentation in Orlando, Christopher Thornberg noted the likelihood of a double dip in 2011. Thornberg famously predicted the real estate bubble, disastrous downturn in California and the high probability of recession in 2008. He is a former economist at UCLA and currently works at Beacon Economics, the firm he founded. I relied heavily on Thornberg’s analysis in helping to side-step the housing debacle and I have found his research to be not only straight forward, but well reasoned. Thornberg says the economic recovery is mostly government induced and could lead to a double dip as the government steps aside and attempts to hand over the baton to the private sector. In the presentation Thornberg noted the continuing concerns:Complete Story »

Today's Reports Focus on Unemployment and Trade
11 Mar 2010 at 8:11am
optionMONSTER submits: By Bryan McCormick There are just two major economic reports today, International Trade and Jobless Claims. Of the two, the focus will be on the unemployment numbers, which may still be experiencing distortions from weather-related effects and delays in passing extended benefits.Complete Story »

Data Points: U.S. Market
11 Mar 2010 at 5:15pm
Dow Industrials, up 44.51 points, or 0.42% to 10611.84. Today’s top contributors to the Dow’s movement and their point contribution: IBM (14.96), TRV (5.52), MRK (4.46), DIS (3.63), HD (3.17). Today’s laggers and their point contribution: MMM (-2.27), KO (-1.21), JNJ (-0.53), GE (-0.23), XOM (0.00). Nasdaq Composite, up 9.51 points, or 0.40% to 2368.46. Up 6.01% over the past 10 sessions. Highest close since August 28, 2008. S&P 500, up 4.63 points, or 0.40% to 1150.24.

‘Hail Mary’ to Warren Buffett: Untold Details of Lehman’s Fall
11 Mar 2010 at 5:15pm
Doubtless, historians will be going over the mammoth 2,200 page report from the Lehman bankruptcy examiner for years to come. But we bloggers are writing the first draft now. And there’s plenty of good fodder on Lehman’s final days, Including fresh details on its effort to get support from billionaire investor Warren Buffett. Now, it’s well known that Lehman reached out to Buffett in its final months. The Journal’s Scott Patterson wrote about the Oracle’s decision to pass on Lehman in a story back in December. But the level of detail provided by this report is pretty astounding. It offers a pretty amazing snapshot of Buffett’s conversation with Lehman CEO Dick Fuld as well as a remarkable window on how the Oracle negotiates during times of crisis. The report really reads like a novel, so we’ll just give you the sections here: Fuld and Buffett spoke on Friday, March 28, 2008. They discussed Buffett investing at least $2 billion in Lehman. Two items immediately concerned Buffet during his conversation with Fuld. First, Buffett wanted Lehman executives to buy under the same terms as Buffett. Fuld explained to the Examiner that he was reluctant to require a significant buy‐in from Lehman executives, because they already received much of their compensation in stock. However, Buffett took it as a negative that Fuld suggested that Lehman executives were not willing to participate in a significant way. Second, Buffett did not like that Fuld complained about short sellers. Buffett thought that blaming short sellers was indicative of a failure to admit one’s own problems. Following his conversation with Buffett, Fuld asked Paulson to call Buffett, which Paulson reluctantly did. Buffett told the Examiner that during that call, Paulson signaled that he would like Buffett to invest in Lehman, but Paulson “did not load the dice.” Buffett spent the rest of Friday, March 28, 2008, reviewing Lehman’s 10‐K and noting problems with some of Lehman’s assets. Buffett’s concerns centered around Lehman’s real estate and high yield investments, lending‐related commitments derivatives and their related credit‐market risk, Level III assets and Lehman’s securitization activity. On Saturday, March 29, 2008, Buffett learned of a $100 million problem in Japan that Fuld had not mentioned during their discussions, and Buffett was concerned that Fuld had not been forthcoming about the issue. The problems Buffett saw in the 10‐K along with Fuld’s failure to alert Buffett to the issue in Japan cemented Buffett’s decision not to invest in Lehman. At some point in their conversations, Fuld and Buffett also discovered that there had been a miscommunication about the conversion price. Buffett was interested only in convertible preferred shares. Buffett told Fuld that he was willing to agree to a $40 conversion price per share, while Fuld thought Buffett was offering to buy in at “up‐ 40,” or 40% above the current market price, which would have been about $56 per share. On Friday, March 28, 2008, Lehman’s stock closed at $37.87. Fuld spoke to Lehman’s Executive Committee and several Board members about his conversations with Buffett. Lehman recognized that an investment by Buffett would provide a “stamp of approval.” However, Lehman already had better offers for its April capital raise, and Lehman did not think it could give a better deal to Buffett at the same time it gave a less attractive deal to others. On Monday, March 31, 2008, before Buffett could tell Fuld that he was not interested, Fuld called Buffett to say that Lehman could not accept his terms. Last‐Ditch Effort with Buffett [Hugh “Skip” E. McGee, III, the head of Lehman’s Investment Banking Division] contacted [President David L. Sokol, president of Berkshire Hathaway's MidAmerican Energy] again in late August or early September 2008 and outlined Lehman’s “Gameplan” for survival, specifically SpinCo. During a subsequent telephone call with Sokol, McGee explained the “good bank/bad bank” scenario and stated that Lehman would need an investor. Sokol believed the e‐mail and call were intended to induce Sokol to pass that information on to Buffett, so Sokol briefed Buffett on SpinCo. Buffett thought the idea would not solve Lehman’s problems. Sometime during the week prior to Lehman’s bankruptcy, McGee again reached out to Sokol with what both Sokol and McGee described to the Examiner as a “Hail Mary” pass. McGee asked, “Do you have any ideas to save us?” Sokol, who was bear hunting in Alaska at the time, told McGee that he did not. Judging by the inclusion of the largely irrelevant bear hunting detail at the end, we can tell that this report was written by a frustrated novelist. (And they did an amazing job.) But what we find most remarkable is the insight these sections offer on how Buffett assesses companies. It’s simple, but not easy, combining 10-K analysis with probing questions to management. Are they willing to put their own money at risk? Are they being upfront? Are they giving investors the full story? Clearly Buffett didn’t think so.

Why Did Lehman Fail?: The Official Answers
11 Mar 2010 at 3:53pm
Why did Lehman fail? There’s now a 2,200 page official answer available, after court-appointed bankruptcy examiner Anton Valukas’ report was released this afternoon. (Here are the first 200 pages.) Plus a snip from DJ: “The business decisions that brought Lehman to its crisis of confidence may have been in error but the decision not to disclose the effects of those judgments does give rise to colorable claims against the senior officers who oversaw and certified misleading financial statements–Lehman’s CEO Richard S. Fuld, Jr., and its CFOs Christopher O’Meara, Erin M. Callan and Ian T. Lowitt,” examiner Anton Valukas said. His report, released Thursday, also said there are “colorable claims” against Lehman’s external auditor Ernst & Young for “its failure to question and challenge improper or inadequate disclosures in those financial statements” as well as secured lenders J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Citigroup Inc.’s (C) Citibank. In the report, Valukas says a colorable claim is one for which he has found that “there is sufficient credible evidence to support a finding by a trier of fact.” He notes, however, he’s not the ultimate decision maker. Whether the claims are valid will be for others to decide. The examiner also found that Lehman management’s decisions and valuation procedures can be questioned in retrospect, but none fall outside the business judgment rule, thus he found no colorable claims. For all the non-lawyers in the house, “colorable” is legalese for “valid” or “genuine.” And we’ll be picking through this bad boy for interesting tidbits, so stay tuned.

Twittering the Trading Day Away
11 Mar 2010 at 2:14pm
Nothing is moving in the markets, folks. No, really. We mean it. Nothing. Not stocks. Not bonds. Not oil. Nothing. On days like this, we think back to our colleague Mary Pilon’s story in May 2009 about idle time at the New York Stock Exchange, where traders have a dedicated movie room where Rambo is often in heavy rotation, even during trading hours. The gist of Mary’s story was that spread of electronic trading had made such pastimes more common at the NYSE and other traditional floors. But the truth is, even in the years when electronics were just beginning to take hold, we witnessed floor traders reach pretty extreme levels of boredom on days when the market was just plain slow. They’d watch golf or debate who would win Survivor or the relative merits of various actresses on ’80s sitcoms that were still in reruns. Of course, these days we have Twitter, which offers a whole new insight into the minds of idle traders. Over the last few slow-churning trading days, some of the folks we follow on Twitter — traders who often post insightful stuff, mind you — have occasionally turned their minds to where to find the best Mexican food, possible comeback marketing slogans for Toyota, the accuracy of long-forgotten comments made by the Treasury secretary in 2007, and annoying friend requests on Facebook. Yeah, things are slow. Like we said. Follow Peter McKay on Twitter.

Medtronic Shares Lower as Bonds Trade
11 Mar 2010 at 12:34pm
As the corporate bond market revives, device maker Medtronic is out with a three-part $3 billion deal. While shares of the company slipped around 10AM, fixed-income investors bid up the bonds. The bonds priced “at the tight end of guidance,” Dow Jones Newswires was told. Medtronic shares are down 1.3%, underperforming the Dow Jones US Medical Equipment Index today which is off just 0.8%.

The Number at Noon: $2.95 Million
11 Mar 2010 at 11:00am
A membership on the Chicago Board Options Exchange sold for $2.95 million Thursday. The sale, 10% higher than a swap on Tuesday, followed the lifting of a moratorium imposed on the sale of seats in conjunction with news that the CBOE is moving forward with its long delayed initial public offering. The IPO now could take place in June. The sale is part of a recent rise in seat prices at the exchange, which is not merely going public but also undergoing a demutualization, a process by which member-owned companies transform their structures. Here’s where that process stands according to DJ: The CBOE is pursuing the demutualization after settling in December a long-running legal dispute over ownership rights in the exchange. The conversion depends upon a membership vote, expected to be held within the next four to six weeks. There are currently 930 seats on the exchange. But, based on the flurry of options actions, no members have actually had time to sit down. Some 3.6 billion total options contracts were traded last year in the U.S, of which CBOE claimed 31% in 2009 - down from 33% in prior years. Trading in options has been on a tear for a while now, etching a 25% compound annual growth rate over the past five years and a 25.2% compound annual growth rate since the CBOE’s inception back in 1973, according to the CBOE filing.

Worth Reading: James Montier
11 Mar 2010 at 9:46am
Here at MarketBeat, we do our best to slog through torrents of research notes, academic papers and analyst notes so you don’t have to. Count yourselves lucky. A truly frightening proportion of this stuff is utter dreck. In a good note, you find a modicum of insight, buried beneath the layers of jargon. In many cases, after grinding through through pages, you find there’s really no there there. Bupkis. GMO Montier Enough whining. The point is, when we actually do find somebody with something interesting to say about the markets we like to spotlight them. And this week we became a fan of market plainspeak delivered by James Montier. A terrific two-part interview with Montier — formerly of Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein and SocGen, now a member of GMO’s asset allocation team — is posted over at Simoleon Sense. (Part 1, Part 2) Montier’s truly got a way with words. (Here’s his Amazon page.) And it is on display in his discussion with Simoleon Sense. He slices through financial jargon that obfuscates, hedges and often leads investors astray. Here are a couple examples. On Value At Risk (VAR), the risk gauge Wall Street focuses on the most: “VAR is fundamentally flawed after all it cuts off the very it of the distribution that we are interested in: the tails! This is akin to buying a car with an airbag that is guaranteed to work unless you have a crash” On the very notion of risk management: “Modern risk management is a farce; it is pseudoscience of the worst kind. The idea that the risk of an investment, or indeed, a portfolio of investments can be reduced to a single number is utter madness. In essence, the problem with risk management is that is assumes that volatility equals risk. Nothing could be further from the truth. Volatility creates opportunity. For instance, was the stock market more risky in 2007 or 2009? According to views of risk managers, 2007 was the less risky year, it had low volatility, which they happily fed into their risk models and concluded (falsely) that the world was a safe place to take risk.” On information overload: “The sheer amount of irrelevant information faced by investors is truly staggering. Today we find ourselves captives of the information age, anything you could possibly need to know seems to appear at the touch of keypad. However, rarely, if ever, do we stop and ask ourselves exactly what we need to know in order to make a good decision.” Of course, as we mentioned above, we’re always dealing with information overload hear at MarketBeat. So full disclosure, we haven’t gotten through the entirety of these interviews. But we’re looking forward to it over the weekend. So forgive us if we’re overly enthusiastic at thinking we’ve found a voice of sanity in the financial punditocracy. Are there others overlooked market watchers that you think are worth hearing out? More to the point, who do you tune out completely? (Hat-tips abound: Investment Postcards, Greenbackd, Abnormal Returns, Infectious Greed, World Beta)

Gensler: SEC, CFTC Still Developing Portfolio Margining Plan
11 Mar 2010 at 9:15am
U.S. futures and securities regulators have still not come to terms yet on the best plan to allow brokerage customers to combine futures, options and cash equities positions into a single margin account, the top futures watchdog said Thursday. U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Gary Gensler gave derivatives experts an update on the issue during the Futures Industry Association conference in Florida. Gensler said the CFTC and Securities and Exchange Commission are in agreement that legislation is needed to expand portfolio margining and are working to draft legislative language to submit to Congress. As to how it would work, however, Gensler said staff from both agencies are “still trying to work that out.” The expansion of portfolio margining was one of numerous key issues the SEC and CFTC said they wanted to work on in a report in October which outlined ways to harmonize securities and futures regulations.

Citigroup’s Pandit to Tout Revival of Fortunes?
11 Mar 2010 at 8:25am
Amid the week’s resurgence of Citi shares — up 13% so far — the bank’s chief executive will raise the prospect of the bank earning as much as $20 billion from its core business within a few years in a presentation today, the Financial Times reported on its Web site Wednesday, citing unnamed people close to the situation. Dow Jones reports: Pandit won’t give a specific profit target for Citicorp, the wholesale and retail banking operations that will remain once other assets and businesses are divested, but is expected to take investors through Citicorp’s earnings potential as he details the bank’s strategy to investors, the FT reported. Pandit is expected to estimate that Citicorp could earn an annual return of 1.25% plus from its assets, of which there were more than $1,300 billion at the end of 2009, the FT reported. Citi executives estimate the assets increase around 5% a year, on which basis Citicorp could earn about $20 billion by the end of 2012, the FT said. Pandit’s lecture at the Citi 2010 Financial Services Conference is set to start at around 12:45 p.m. EST. There will be a Web cast and downloadable materials here. Not sure if Vik is going to be parrying questions or not. But if you’ve got a pressing question on Citi,  post it in the comments section and we’ll see if we can churn out some answers.

Franc Dips as SNB Sticks to Currency Line
11 Mar 2010 at 7:47am
The Swiss franc moved sharply lower after the Swiss National Bank reaffirmed its commitment to preventing excessive currency strength Thursday, but the fleeting move suggests traders still expect the franc to climb. The euro jumped by 0.12% to 1.4631 against the franc after the announcement, which followed the central bank’s quarterly monetary-policy meeting. However, it didn’t move above its range for the previous day and immediately sank back down, suggesting traders and investors still expect the franc to climb over the medium term. The SNB also upped its 2010 growth and inflation forecasts, which points to interest rate rises ahead–a long-term support for the franc. The central bank has been intervening in the currency markets for the past year, initially seeking to prevent the euro from sinking under 1.50 francs and more recently trying to stop the franc from strengthening too fast. The SNB is thought to have intervened on a small scale Wednesday, bumping the euro up from the 1.4613 franc level for a short time. Prior to that, it is thought to have intervened March 2, Feb. 23, Feb. 12, Feb. 4 and Jan. 29, generally aiming to stop the euro from falling below the 1.4630 francs to 1.4650 francs area. On each occasion, the Swiss franc has dipped, but swiftly moved higher again. Alan Ruskin, head of currency strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland, said the last time the SNB trod this line on currency strength back in December, the euro was at 1.51 francs. “I would emphasize that same language could end up with a not-dissimilar result, where the market grinds the SNB down, and they eventually tolerate another round of modest Swissie gains,” he said. The stronger Swiss economy, broad euro weakness, lower deflation risks and a healthier Swiss balance of payments all support a stronger Swiss franc from here, Mr. Ruskin said. “The cumulative case for Swissie strength should be readily apparent, and [the short position in the euro against the franc that] we recommended in December remains well entrenched,” he said. The euro was recently at 1.4625 francs, slightly higher than 1.4615 francs late Wednesday in New York.

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